Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.008628 0.010174 0.012039 0.014489 0.017683 0.021792 0.027626
2025-07-20 0.006783 0.008650 0.011174 0.014968 0.020794 0.029916 0.046538
2025-07-27 0.005672 0.007596 0.010395 0.015009 0.022998 0.037641 0.071093
2025-08-03 0.004951 0.006877 0.009842 0.015101 0.025174 0.046478 0.107724
2025-08-10 0.004318 0.006155 0.009098 0.014611 0.026029 0.053200 0.149773
2025-08-17 0.003772 0.005476 0.008288 0.013770 0.025823 0.057370 0.192795
2025-08-24 0.003363 0.004961 0.007664 0.013127 0.025812 0.062170 0.252552
2025-08-31 0.003157 0.004752 0.007538 0.013436 0.028177 0.076244 0.422978
2025-09-07 0.002898 0.004419 0.007136 0.013071 0.028685 0.084685 0.615859
2025-09-14 0.002656 0.004092 0.006699 0.012538 0.028548 0.090760 0.858054
2025-09-21 0.002503 0.003905 0.006508 0.012525 0.029953 0.105614 1.538160
2025-09-28 0.002419 0.003835 0.006532 0.013027 0.033228 0.135560 4.409755
2025-10-05 0.002354 0.003808 0.006670 0.013935 0.038818 0.197226 60.674486
2025-10-12 0.002251 0.003698 0.006625 0.014378 0.043203 0.271122 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002129 0.003539 0.006449 0.014416 0.046047 0.348979 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002023 0.003402 0.006302 0.014503 0.049300 0.461890 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001894 0.003206 0.005996 0.014039 0.049569 0.534669 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001758 0.002984 0.005607 0.013243 0.047657 0.553873 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001644 0.002802 0.005295 0.012633 0.046523 0.593809 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001592 0.002742 0.005264 0.012927 0.050895 0.874797 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001510 0.002613 0.005053 0.012580 0.051164 1.032684 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001426 0.002475 0.004809 0.012074 0.050130 1.127990 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001373 0.002400 0.004711 0.012062 0.052534 1.554603 NaN